China does not yet have the technology to overtake Taiwan.
China absolutely does have the technology to overtake Taiwan, and if you look at the history of how fast Chinese technology develops, it should be obvious that it’s not going to take long. Look at what happened with solar panels, EVs, batteries, phones, etc. In every case, once China ramped up research and production, they leapfrogged the rest of the world within years. China sees chip production as a national security issue, they will be pouring state level resources into it.
I have no doubt that China is developing very quickly.
But at the moment, China is unlikely to survive the severing of economic relations with the US and its satellites.
By the way, it’s time to talk about India. India will now supply gasoline to Russia. It will supply diesel to Ukraine, and gasoline to Russia.
In Crimea, there is no gasoline at all at civilian gas stations, and in some regions of Russia, there is a gasoline shortage. Gasoline prices have increased by half. Speculators have doubled theirs.
The Russian stock market has noticeably fallen. The situation is not critical right now, but a lot depends on how quickly Russia finds a way to counter.
Now everyone is expecting a Russian retaliatory strike. There has been no response yet since the attack on Moscow. Lately, the strikes against us have been very weak every night. The siren rarely sounds. It’s very strange.
Remember I told you about the “Skelya” unit of the Ukrainian Armed Forces? Yesterday, Ukrainian media reported cases of flagrant inhumane treatment of soldiers there by the leadership. Torture, sexual violence, murder, suicide. These people haven’t even reached the front yet. Criminals released from prison are committing this lawlessness.
A friend of mine ended up there, and he told me the same thing. This is how they force the “busified” soldiers to fight. Because people reduced to the state of animals are willing to do anything to escape their suffering, even die during an assault. We were talking recently about how the “busified” soldiers hold the front and even counterattack. That’s it!!!
These are no longer people, but animals reduced to the state of animals. These people are impossible to break because they have no other choice. They believe their chances of surviving an assault are better.
And Syrsky is personally orchestrating this entire hellish spectacle.
And this entire “banquet” is being paid for by the collective West.
We, ordinary Ukrainians, are held captive by the devil!
When I think about it, I feel sick!
I’m certain that if the regime in Ukraine doesn’t change, a civil war will break out very soon after the war.
And this won’t even be a war between the west and the east of Ukraine, but a war between those who return from the war and those who bullied and abused them in training, and then threw them into brutal assaults.
And these won’t be frightened citizens hiding in their homes; these will be battle-hardened thugs with weapons.
And if the regime changes, all this scum will immediately flee to the west with the stolen money. But then the country will be cleansed of this scum naturally.
I’m going to repeat this again, we have concrete and irrefutable proof that China is no longer dependent on the west. China was completely unaffected by Trump’s 140% tariffs which basically amounted to cutting off trade, and just now we saw that China is similarly unaffected by global oil disruption. The reality is that the world has changed, and developing economies are growing rapidly while the west is in an accelerating decline. The west isn’t the centre of global economic gravity anymore.
Outside Crimea, the shortages seem to be more a result of panic buying than anything else given that export volumes haven’t been affected. There is going to be a lot of pressure on Putin to do some major retaliation now though, and this time he might have to.
Even though they can force people to fight by dehumanizing them, this is not an effective tactic. Notice how Russian advance is accelerating now, and big towns towns like Konstantinovka that used to be fought over really hard are now falling mostly intact. There are no more fights to take very building like what we saw in Artemovsk.
It is absolutely sick what western backed fascists are doing to the people of Ukraine and how people in the west keep cheering for it.
And I think there likely will be a mutiny in the army sooner or later as well. We talked about this a long time go, but the dynamic is that they have to use actual trained and motivated soldiers to do important operations, and each time that happens the ones that are lost can’t be replaced. Russians know this and that’s why towns like Pokrovsk are always used as nazi roach motels. Ukraine has no choice but to defend them to the last because it looks bad to western sponsors when they lose them. So, they can’t just throw mobics there. And that depletes the core of motivated fascists holding the army together. Eventually there will be an inflection point where there just aren’t enough of them and the mobics will start taking revenge for all the abuse they suffered.
Also, when they flee to the west that’s when things are going to get really bad for Europe. They’ve already been smuggling a lot of weapons into Europe and establishing links with fascists there. Once you have a whole bunch of hardened, trained, and well armed fash running around, Europe might start looking a lot like Syria at that point.
I’m going to repeat this again, we have concrete and irrefutable proof that China is no longer dependent on the west.
With the exception of the $600 billion trade volume—where, yes, China sells more to the U.S. than it buys—and high-tech developments that China has not yet created itself but which are possessed by the U.S. (or Taiwan, which utilizes U.S. technology)…
Outside Crimea, the shortages seem to be more a result of panic
Even though they can force people to fight by dehumanizing them, this is not an effective tactic. Notice how Russian advance is accelerating now, and big towns towns like Konstantinovka that used to be fought over really hard are now falling mostly intact. There are no more fights to take very building like what we saw in Artemovsk.
You got a bit carried away regarding the “major cities,” Comrade. )))) I only heard of that particular city at the start of the war… )))) When you’re driving along the highway, you’re hardly going to remember the names of every village you pass. In the USSR, that kind of place was classified as an “urban-type settlement.” To a resident of Kharkiv, it’s just a backwater village. I know Sloviansk well—I used to visit often; there was a really good “cook” there… you know, Breaking Bad style… )))) People would travel all the way from Kharkiv just to get his “product.” It’s a real hick town, too—they speak Surzhyk there.
The major cities—or rather, not “major,” just cities—that Russia has captured are Berdyansk, Mariupol, and Kherson.
As for Sloviansk, they’ve turned it into a fortress city. I doubt the Russians will be able to capture it quickly. It’s the next city on the list after Mariupol.
It is absolutely sick what western backed fascists are doing to the people of Ukraine and how people in the west keep cheering for it.
Look, this is Ukrainian TV. Things got to the point where they had to announce this to the whole country.
This woman, the Ukrainian ombudsperson who visited “Skelya,” shares her “impressions.”
And take a look at the comments below—it’s all those “pot-heads” finally seeing the light; all the comments are in Ukrainian!!! Morons—what were they thinking before?
The NABU, of course, “got involved” in the “investigation.”
And I think there likely will be a mutiny in the army sooner or later as well. We talked about this a long time go, but the dynamic is that they have to use actual trained and motivated soldiers to do important operations, and each time that happens the ones that are lost can’t be replaced. Russians know this and that’s why towns like Pokrovsk are always used as nazi roach motels. Ukraine has no choice but to defend them to the last because it looks bad to western sponsors when they lose them. So, they can’t just throw mobics there. And that depletes the core of motivated fascists holding the army together. Eventually there will be an inflection point where there just aren’t enough of them and the mobics will start taking revenge for all the abuse they suffered.
For now, this is only in theory.
Also, when they flee to the west that’s when things are going to get really bad for Europe. They’ve already been smuggling a lot of weapons into Europe and establishing links with fascists there. Once you have a whole bunch of hardened, trained, and well armed fash running around, Europe might start looking a lot like Syria at that point.
Yes, I completely agree with you; it will be a mafia, armed to the teeth, terrorizing all of Europe. The consequences of the war will continue to haunt Europe for a long time to come.
Right, and on top of it Huawei is coming up with new ways to arrange transistors with stuff like Tau folding architecture, which combined wtih EUV might actually allow Chinese chip makers to push far ahead of traditional chip designs.
The future of Chinese chip manufacturing is definitely bright it’s simply not here quite yet until the new machine succeeds in passing the final and most important hurdle of taping out a chip of acceptable quality.
So, the gap really isn’t that big in practice. Also worth noting that software side plays just as much role here as well. Android, iOS, Windows, MacOS, and even Linux all have a lot of legacy decisions baked into them for backwards compatibility needed to support existing software. Huawei building a fresh stack on top of HarmonyOS allows them to make a much leaner stack that’s not saddled with all the prior baggage. And that can make overall user experience a lot better even on slower hardware. Modern software is incredibly bloated, and addressing the bloat is a low hanging fruit that can be plucked right now without the need for EUV machines. The benefits will stack with faster chips as well just the same way Tau will stack with EUV.
In a way, decoupling from Western tech stack could actually provide a lot of benefits because it opens up the way for doing things differently without having to worry about the way existing legacy stack works.
I am well aware of all of this however as you maybe subconsciously added yourself:
So, the gap really isn’t that big in practice.
I agree the gap currently is the smallest it has ever been, there is however still a gap. I strongly believe from everything I know from my time in the industry that once Chinese EUV achieves a tape out the gap will not simply be closed but thanks to the build-up in novel workarounds that were required in the interim that can then be applied on top of the smaller dimension transistors we will be propelled to a substantial lead. However for now even if it is coming to an inevitable end we still trail the most advanced nodes.
China absolutely does have the technology to overtake Taiwan, and if you look at the history of how fast Chinese technology develops, it should be obvious that it’s not going to take long. Look at what happened with solar panels, EVs, batteries, phones, etc. In every case, once China ramped up research and production, they leapfrogged the rest of the world within years. China sees chip production as a national security issue, they will be pouring state level resources into it.
Meanwhile here’s what Stanford has to say about AI https://hai.stanford.edu/news/inside-the-ai-index-12-takeaways-from-the-2026-report
Not only has China basically closed the gap already, but they’re doing it at a tiny fraction of the cost.
I have no doubt that China is developing very quickly.
But at the moment, China is unlikely to survive the severing of economic relations with the US and its satellites.
By the way, it’s time to talk about India. India will now supply gasoline to Russia. It will supply diesel to Ukraine, and gasoline to Russia.
In Crimea, there is no gasoline at all at civilian gas stations, and in some regions of Russia, there is a gasoline shortage. Gasoline prices have increased by half. Speculators have doubled theirs.
The Russian stock market has noticeably fallen. The situation is not critical right now, but a lot depends on how quickly Russia finds a way to counter.
Now everyone is expecting a Russian retaliatory strike. There has been no response yet since the attack on Moscow. Lately, the strikes against us have been very weak every night. The siren rarely sounds. It’s very strange.
Remember I told you about the “Skelya” unit of the Ukrainian Armed Forces? Yesterday, Ukrainian media reported cases of flagrant inhumane treatment of soldiers there by the leadership. Torture, sexual violence, murder, suicide. These people haven’t even reached the front yet. Criminals released from prison are committing this lawlessness.
A friend of mine ended up there, and he told me the same thing. This is how they force the “busified” soldiers to fight. Because people reduced to the state of animals are willing to do anything to escape their suffering, even die during an assault. We were talking recently about how the “busified” soldiers hold the front and even counterattack. That’s it!!! These are no longer people, but animals reduced to the state of animals. These people are impossible to break because they have no other choice. They believe their chances of surviving an assault are better.
And Syrsky is personally orchestrating this entire hellish spectacle.
And this entire “banquet” is being paid for by the collective West.
We, ordinary Ukrainians, are held captive by the devil!
When I think about it, I feel sick!
I’m certain that if the regime in Ukraine doesn’t change, a civil war will break out very soon after the war.
And this won’t even be a war between the west and the east of Ukraine, but a war between those who return from the war and those who bullied and abused them in training, and then threw them into brutal assaults.
And these won’t be frightened citizens hiding in their homes; these will be battle-hardened thugs with weapons.
And if the regime changes, all this scum will immediately flee to the west with the stolen money. But then the country will be cleansed of this scum naturally.
I’m going to repeat this again, we have concrete and irrefutable proof that China is no longer dependent on the west. China was completely unaffected by Trump’s 140% tariffs which basically amounted to cutting off trade, and just now we saw that China is similarly unaffected by global oil disruption. The reality is that the world has changed, and developing economies are growing rapidly while the west is in an accelerating decline. The west isn’t the centre of global economic gravity anymore.
Outside Crimea, the shortages seem to be more a result of panic buying than anything else given that export volumes haven’t been affected. There is going to be a lot of pressure on Putin to do some major retaliation now though, and this time he might have to.
Even though they can force people to fight by dehumanizing them, this is not an effective tactic. Notice how Russian advance is accelerating now, and big towns towns like Konstantinovka that used to be fought over really hard are now falling mostly intact. There are no more fights to take very building like what we saw in Artemovsk.
It is absolutely sick what western backed fascists are doing to the people of Ukraine and how people in the west keep cheering for it.
And I think there likely will be a mutiny in the army sooner or later as well. We talked about this a long time go, but the dynamic is that they have to use actual trained and motivated soldiers to do important operations, and each time that happens the ones that are lost can’t be replaced. Russians know this and that’s why towns like Pokrovsk are always used as nazi roach motels. Ukraine has no choice but to defend them to the last because it looks bad to western sponsors when they lose them. So, they can’t just throw mobics there. And that depletes the core of motivated fascists holding the army together. Eventually there will be an inflection point where there just aren’t enough of them and the mobics will start taking revenge for all the abuse they suffered.
Also, when they flee to the west that’s when things are going to get really bad for Europe. They’ve already been smuggling a lot of weapons into Europe and establishing links with fascists there. Once you have a whole bunch of hardened, trained, and well armed fash running around, Europe might start looking a lot like Syria at that point.
With the exception of the $600 billion trade volume—where, yes, China sells more to the U.S. than it buys—and high-tech developments that China has not yet created itself but which are possessed by the U.S. (or Taiwan, which utilizes U.S. technology)…
Yes, due to panic, among other things.
Comrade, you can’t fuel a car with crude oil…)))
Once again:
https://korrespondent.net/world/russia/4888980-rossyia-prosyt-benzyn-u-druzhestvennykh-stran
You got a bit carried away regarding the “major cities,” Comrade. )))) I only heard of that particular city at the start of the war… )))) When you’re driving along the highway, you’re hardly going to remember the names of every village you pass. In the USSR, that kind of place was classified as an “urban-type settlement.” To a resident of Kharkiv, it’s just a backwater village. I know Sloviansk well—I used to visit often; there was a really good “cook” there… you know, Breaking Bad style… )))) People would travel all the way from Kharkiv just to get his “product.” It’s a real hick town, too—they speak Surzhyk there.
The major cities—or rather, not “major,” just cities—that Russia has captured are Berdyansk, Mariupol, and Kherson.
As for Sloviansk, they’ve turned it into a fortress city. I doubt the Russians will be able to capture it quickly. It’s the next city on the list after Mariupol.
Look, this is Ukrainian TV. Things got to the point where they had to announce this to the whole country.
This woman, the Ukrainian ombudsperson who visited “Skelya,” shares her “impressions.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mrkC8kV0Bc&t=275s
And take a look at the comments below—it’s all those “pot-heads” finally seeing the light; all the comments are in Ukrainian!!! Morons—what were they thinking before?
The NABU, of course, “got involved” in the “investigation.”
https://ukranews.com/en/amp/news/1159661-lubinets-launches-urgent-investigation-into-skelia-regiment-following-allegations-of-torture
For now, this is only in theory.
Yes, I completely agree with you; it will be a mafia, armed to the teeth, terrorizing all of Europe. The consequences of the war will continue to haunt Europe for a long time to come.
Has is probably slightly ambitious. China’s first EUV machine was completed last year and won’t even produce chips until 2028. However once that milestone is passed the trajectory of what logically follows is obvious.
Right, and on top of it Huawei is coming up with new ways to arrange transistors with stuff like Tau folding architecture, which combined wtih EUV might actually allow Chinese chip makers to push far ahead of traditional chip designs.
The future of Chinese chip manufacturing is definitely bright it’s simply not here quite yet until the new machine succeeds in passing the final and most important hurdle of taping out a chip of acceptable quality.
It seems like Tau architecture might close the performance gap even without EUV though. Similarly Huawei managed to get clever with optical connections in their Ascend clusters to actually outperform NVIDIA for AI training. https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3315068/how-huaweis-ascend-ai-chips-outperform-nvidia-processors-running-deepseeks-r1-model
So, the gap really isn’t that big in practice. Also worth noting that software side plays just as much role here as well. Android, iOS, Windows, MacOS, and even Linux all have a lot of legacy decisions baked into them for backwards compatibility needed to support existing software. Huawei building a fresh stack on top of HarmonyOS allows them to make a much leaner stack that’s not saddled with all the prior baggage. And that can make overall user experience a lot better even on slower hardware. Modern software is incredibly bloated, and addressing the bloat is a low hanging fruit that can be plucked right now without the need for EUV machines. The benefits will stack with faster chips as well just the same way Tau will stack with EUV.
In a way, decoupling from Western tech stack could actually provide a lot of benefits because it opens up the way for doing things differently without having to worry about the way existing legacy stack works.
I am well aware of all of this however as you maybe subconsciously added yourself:
I agree the gap currently is the smallest it has ever been, there is however still a gap. I strongly believe from everything I know from my time in the industry that once Chinese EUV achieves a tape out the gap will not simply be closed but thanks to the build-up in novel workarounds that were required in the interim that can then be applied on top of the smaller dimension transistors we will be propelled to a substantial lead. However for now even if it is coming to an inevitable end we still trail the most advanced nodes.
Sure, I’m not arguing there isn’t a gap currently. I just don’t see the gap as being consequential in any way that matters already.