The author contradicts himself:

When a citizen sees the currency lose half its value while news of systemic corruption breaks, the opportunity cost of rebellion drops to near zero.

This is not only about relief from sanctions but also about endemic corruption among political elites, power monopolized by the Supreme Leader and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and their affiliated businesses. Just a few weeks ago a leaked wedding video laid bare the luxurious lives of Iran’s political elite and highlighted hypocrisy of the Islamic Republic:

A video purportedly showing the wedding of the daughter of Ali Shamkhani, a top advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader, has sparked widespread reactions on social media. Users are criticizing the Islamic Republic officials’ hypocrisy and double standards …

Nooo, Iranians don’t want regime change, that’s why they didn’t go out in 2009, 2019, 2022-23…

I knew there would be pro sanction comments. Lol. The same guys that continually post articles about how repressive the ‘regime’ is, how they need a revolution… laying the groundwork for another Israeli bombing or best case scenario US boots on the ground ala “Iraq war 3: this time it’s Justified”

Bootlickers and propagandists. Stop the illegal sanctions. Stop the genocide in Gaza and the war on Venezuela. Those are the headlines.